AGP Executive Report

Congressional Shift: Democrats won control of both chambers in a sweeping midterm rebuke to President Donald Trump, with some races still awaiting final counts. The new majority could block Trump’s agenda and has pledged to restore Affordable Care Act subsidies and reverse Medicaid cuts. Voter Message: Trump and Vice President JD Vance linked Republican losses to the Iran war, while voters cited economic pressures; an AP survey found a sharp shift toward Democrats among voters under 30. Georgia Realignment: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms made history as the first Black woman elected governor, and Democrats appeared poised to take the state House for the first time in more than two decades. Historic Firsts: Michigan elected Abdul El-Sayed as the first Muslim U.S. senator, while the results also brought the first Native American woman to the Senate and other major representation milestones.

Congressional Shift: Democrats are projected to take control of both the House and Senate in a sweeping midterm victory. In Texas, James Talarico won a Senate seat and Gina Hinojosa defeated Gov. Greg Abbott, ending decades of Republican dominance in statewide races. Statehouse Changes: Wisconsin Democrats won control of both legislative chambers, giving the party a state government trifecta for the first time in 16 years. Minnesota Results: DFL incumbents Ron Latz, Ann Johnson Stewart and Larry Kraft won reelection. Dan Rasmussen also unseated longtime Three Rivers Park District board chair John Gibbs. Other Key Races: New York Gov. Kathy Hochul won another term, while Xavier Becerra was projected to win California’s governor’s race. Los Angeles mayoral results remained too close to call, with Nithya Raman leading.

Election Day: Voters are deciding control of Congress in midterms widely seen as a test of President Donald Trump’s second term, with key Senate contests in states including Texas, Maine and Ohio. Results are still coming in, and some counts may take days. Turnout: Texas reported more than 7.7 million early ballots, a midterm record, while Washington also saw strong ballot returns. Election Security: Federal observers are monitoring polling places for intimidation and accessibility issues as officials face concerns about possible interference and false fraud claims. A new survey found 77% of voters worry AI-generated deepfakes could sway public opinion. Campaign Money: The 20 biggest donors have poured about $2 billion into federal races this cycle, helping make this the most expensive midterm campaign season for political ads since at least 2018. Voting Rights: A federal judge declined to block Wisconsin guidance barring people who bet on election results from voting; the lawsuit will continue.

Midterms at a Crossroads: Americans are voting in races that will decide control of Congress, with the contest widely seen as a verdict on President Donald Trump. Democrats are favored to take the House, while the Senate fight remains close; tight races and legal challenges could delay results. Campaign’s Final Hours: Trump urged voters to back Republicans, while Democrats targeted his policies and personal wealth. In Michigan, a bitter split widened after Senate primary loser Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers over Democrat Abdul El-Sayed. Election Oversight: The Justice Department plans to send 1,000 federal observers to polling places nationwide. In California, a judge blocked federal threats against election officials over disputed voter records. Turnout Watch: Iowa had received 464,216 early ballots, 25% more than at the same point in 2022, with participation up among Democrats, Republicans and independent voters. Officials caution that early-voting totals alone do not predict the outcome.

U.S. Midterms: Voters head to the polls Tuesday to decide control of Congress, with more than 54 million already voting early and polls pointing to Democratic gains. President Trump made a final appeal in Washington rather than campaigning in a battleground state. Senate Showdown: Michigan’s race tightened after Democrat Haley Stevens endorsed Republican Mike Rogers over her party’s nominee, Abdul El-Sayed. Election Integrity: A federal judge dismissed the Justice Department’s attempt to block certification of Alaska’s Senate results, intensifying concerns about political interference. Federal prosecutors have opened hotlines for reports of election interference, while officials emphasize paper ballots, audits and bipartisan oversight. Voter Rolls: Thousands protested in New Delhi, alleging that a nationwide voter-list revision could benefit the ruling party; India’s election commission and government deny the claims. Local Campaigns: In South Africa, a review found that municipal parties’ promises to crack down on immigration exceed local governments’ legal powers.

U.S. Midterms: Donald Trump wrapped up his campaign with rallies in Iowa and Kansas as voters prepare to decide control of Congress. Democrats are favored to win the House, while the Senate remains closely contested; more than 52 million ballots have already been cast. Alaska Court Fight: A federal judge rejected the Justice Department’s bid to block certification of the Senate race if Republican Dan Sullivan loses, finding a late intervention could disrupt voting. The administration appealed. Bulgaria: Acting President Iliana Iotova won the runoff with 57.58% of the vote, becoming the country’s first elected woman president. Turnout was low. India: Opposition leaders rallied in New Delhi, demanding the election chief resign over voter-roll revisions they say removed more than 130 million names. South Africa: Local elections are set for Wednesday, with the ANC facing voter anger over poor services. Jacob Zuma returned to campaigning after a hospital stay, seeking to boost his party in its KwaZulu-Natal stronghold.

India’s Voter Rolls: Tens of thousands rallied in New Delhi, with opposition leader Rahul Gandhi demanding the election chief’s resignation over a voter-list review that critics say removed millions of names. The Election Commission and ruling BJP deny wrongdoing. Alaska Senate Race: A federal judge dismissed the Justice Department’s bid to block certification if Republican Dan Sullivan loses, rejecting its plan to investigate possible voter confusion over a candidate with the same name. Michigan Democrats Split: Congresswoman Haley Stevens backed Republican Mike Rogers against her former primary rival Abdul El-Sayed, deepening a party rift just before Tuesday’s midterms. Midterm Stakes: About $11 billion is expected to be spent on campaigns as control of Congress hangs in the balance. Israel’s Election: The elections chief said a probe into alleged foreign funding would not undermine the vote’s integrity or results, even if suspicions are confirmed.

US Midterms: More than 51 million ballots have been cast early, and the final campaign weekend is unfolding amid court rulings blocking federal threats against election officials. A California filing says 42% of names on the DOJ’s alleged noncitizen voter list do not match the state’s rolls. AI and Voting: Researchers found nearly 40% of election-related chatbot answers contained factual errors, including wrong voting deadlines. India: Opposition parties rallied in Delhi over alleged voter-roll deletions, demanding the chief election commissioner’s resignation; the BJP denies the allegations. Andhra Pradesh: Urban local elections are testing the ruling NDA’s strength, with Visakhapatnam reporting 3.34% turnout in the first two hours. Nigeria: INEC says attacks on election workers and corps members will bring prosecution as it prepares for 2027. Israel: No bloc won a majority, leaving coalition talks and the prospect of another election in focus.

Senate Showdowns: Texas’s tossup race between Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico is heading into a final weekend blitz, while Maine and Alaska are also among the contests that could decide control of the Senate. President Trump is opting for phone-in rallies, and more than 51 million Americans have already voted. Election Oversight: A federal judge has barred the administration from pressuring election officials to set aside ballots, remove voters or threaten workers with prosecution. The Ninth Circuit also left limits on federal voter-fraud investigations in nine states in place through Election Day. Voter-List Dispute: UCLA researchers found that 42% of names on a DOJ list of alleged noncitizen voters in California do not match the state’s voter rolls; their filing also flagged U.S. citizens. The administration says it may take its fight over California mail ballots to the Supreme Court, as legal challenges continue in Alaska and other states.

Melaka State Election: Nomination day opened the 16th state race, with 79 candidates contesting 28 seats. Pakatan Harapan is fielding 24 candidates and Barisan Nasional 23; voters head to the polls Nov. 14 after campaigning ends Nov. 13. U.S. Election Oversight: A federal judge temporarily barred the Justice Department and Homeland Security from threatening election officials with prosecution or pressuring them to stop processing ballots. An appeals court also rejected the DOJ’s bid to set aside about 20,000 California ballots. U.S. Midterms: Early voting is outpacing the previous midterm, as candidates make final appeals before Nov. 3. Control of Congress and rising living costs are central concerns. Israel: Final results leave Netanyahu’s bloc with 53 seats, short of a majority, making Arab parties pivotal as coalition talks loom.

U.S. Midterms: More than 48 million ballots have been cast, a record for a midterm, as Trump resumes canceled rallies and his administration pursues legal action over Alaska’s Senate race. The Justice Department seeks to block certification if Republican Dan Sullivan narrowly loses, citing an unverified allegation about a recruited spoiler candidate. Florida: Early voting has topped 4.2 million. The closely watched governor’s race remains tight, with Trump campaigning for Republican Byron Donalds. Israel: Final results give Netanyahu’s bloc 53 seats, short of a majority; Arab-led parties hold 19 seats and could shape coalition talks. Nigeria 2027: INEC says its voter register exceeds 103 million and vows neutrality as it prepares for the election. Separately, Omoyele Sowore’s campaign says his whereabouts were unknown after an alleged attack in Ekiti and has called for urgent security intervention. Campaign AI: A new study finds voters’ views of AI-written campaign messages can shift depending on which party they believe used the technology.

Israel’s Hung Parliament: Final results give Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc 53 seats, the opposition 48 and Arab-led parties 19, leaving coalition talks wide open. Likud’s claims that the vote was “stolen” remain unsupported; Qatar denies allegations of interference. Melaka Vote: Candidate nominations begin Saturday for the state election, with 687,697 people eligible to vote on Nov. 14. US Midterms: The Justice Department is seeking to block Alaska’s Senate result if Republican Dan Sullivan loses, citing an unproven claim that a similarly named candidate was recruited to confuse voters. The move heightens concerns about federal intervention in election results. Voter Priorities: Cost of living is a leading concern as Americans cast early ballots, with 84% of early voters in a Pew survey naming the economy as their top issue.

US Midterms: With Election Day less than a week away, Donald Trump and Barack Obama are making rival campaign appearances as control of Congress hangs in the balance. Democrats are favored to win the House, while Senate races remain tight; Trump canceled a Kansas rally amid polling trouble for Republicans. Election Rules: Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton’s office sued Harris County, alleging its clerk used race-based targeting for voter-information ads. Paxton recused himself because he is on the November ballot. Santa Clara County, meanwhile, rejected a DOJ request for voter data and to set aside ballots from people suspected of being noncitizens. Israel: Final results gave Netanyahu’s bloc 53 seats and the opposition 48, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Arab parties won 19 seats and could shape coalition talks. Netanyahu’s party alleged election theft, but the claims remain unsubstantiated; the election chief has requested an investigation into possible foreign interference. Campaign Conduct: A Maine voter says she was misled into appearing in an ad supporting Democrat Troy Jackson, believing it was for Republican Susan Collins.

Israel’s Coalition Deadlock: Netanyahu’s bloc has 53 seats against 48 for the opposition alliance, while Arab parties hold 19; final ballots could still shift the count, but neither side has a clear path to govern. Police have found no evidence backing Likud’s fraud claims. U.S. Midterms: With voting approaching on Nov. 3, Donald Trump and Barack Obama are making closing appeals as control of Congress hangs in the balance. U.S. officials have also warned regional allies to prepare for possible strikes on Iran after the midterms, though Trump has made no decision. India’s Council Polls: Congress drew a blank in Karnataka as the BJP and JD(S) won all four seats; in Uttar Pradesh, the BJP won five seats and the Samajwadi Party three. The results have fueled a fresh exchange between the parties over ballot voting and Congress’s electoral strategy.

Israel’s Coalition Deadlock: With more than 85% of votes counted, neither Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc nor Gadi Eisenkot’s rivals were near the 61 seats needed to govern. Arab parties’ projected 19 seats could prove pivotal, and President Isaac Herzog urged leaders to avoid another election. U.S. Midterms: Donald Trump and Barack Obama hit the campaign trail as economic worries weigh on voters. Separately, Reuters reports the administration has issued more than 100 subpoenas seeking voter records in a broad inquiry into noncitizen voting. Nigeria’s 2027 Preparations: INEC is reviewing allegations that suspected AI-generated or duplicate photos appear in the voter register. Rabiu Kwankwaso has also turned to TikTok to share updates with supporters. Melaka Campaign: UMNO says it will formalize cooperation with PAS and other Perikatan Nasional parties for next month’s state election, with a joint manifesto planned. Serbia: U.S. senators congratulated the opposition Student List on a projected parliamentary majority and praised election observers.

Israel: Exit polls showed no clear winner, while early counting gave Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc a lead—but still short of a majority. Record turnout and gains by Arab parties could shape coalition talks, though Netanyahu has rejected relying on them. U.S. Midterms: A cyberattack disrupted the Federal Election Commission’s campaign-finance filing system days before Nov. 3; officials said the outage affects disclosures, not voting. Nigeria 2027: INEC is investigating alleged AI-generated voter photos and duplicate records in its preliminary register, amid calls for stronger checks before the list is finalized. Brazil: Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won re-election, while defeated rival Flávio Bolsonaro is set to receive U.S. visas; Donald Trump called the result “rigged” without offering evidence.